Not a big fan of this card betting-wise, so going a very conservative route.
Only doing a two-legged parlay:
Sage Northcutt (-310) over Thibault Gouti
Brandon Davis (-200) over Steven Peterson
For what I consider a very conservative bet, the payout is actually pretty decent, with a winning ticket earning you approximately even money. So if you put down $100, you’ll win over $98.
Not too many predictions for this one, either:
Burkman/Moreno will go OVER 2.5 rounds (-105)
Sarah Moras to pull off the minor upset over Lucie Pudilova (Although a minor upset according to the oddsmakers, every expert breakdown I’ve heard disagrees with me and has picked Pudilova. I don’t see the fight going how they think it is going to go)
Sage Northcutt over Thibault Gouti
Brandon Davis over Steven Peterson
Derrick Lewis over Marcin Tybura
Lewis with his back talk and retirement talk has too many question marks for me to bet on. He is just too strange a guy to entrust money on for a somewhat conservative better such as myself. Plus, he does not have too many paths to victory. If he doesn’t KO Marcin, it seems to me he’d struggle to win a decision. Having said that, if Leweis is right mentally and physically, then everything about Tybura’s fighting style tells me that Lewis is going to knock him clean out, and I don’t understand how most experts, and the oddsmakers, are missing this. I believe Tybura is being overvalued here by the experts and fans.
Only five predictions this week. Side note, I never understood why all experts force themselves to predict every fight. There’s no way you have a prediction on every fight. Sometimes you just don’t know how it will shake out. It’s OK. Not the end of the world. I’m honest enough to admit when that’s the case with me, even if it’s the majority of the fights. I do think that both Ferreira and Trinaldo are VERY live bets as underdogs if live underdog betting is your style. I think those two fights could go either way and Trinaldo in particular would get you a very decent return as an underdog.
Good luck and enjoy the fights!